LR Market Intelligence

LR Market Intelligence

SK Hynix just dropped one of the greatest earnings reports in semiconductor history.

Memory just became an AI infrastructure monopoly. The market still hasn't fully noticed.

quantLR's avatar
quantLR
Apr 23, 2026
∙ Paid

SK Hynix just posted a 72% operating margin in a seasonally weak quarter. Revenue tripled year-over-year. The CFO said customer demand exceeds supply for the next three years. The stock is still priced like a cyclical. That's the trade.

SK Hynix Q1 FY2026 Earnings Deck — Revenue Analysis

Revenue: ₩52.6T +198% YoY · beat est +7%

Op. Margin: 72% record · +30pp YoY

EBITDA: ₩41.3T 79% margin · beat est

Net Cash: ₩35T flipped from net debt


This quarter was not supposed to be possible

To put 72% operating margins in context: Apple, the most profitable consumer hardware company in history, runs at roughly 30%. SK Hynix — a Korean memory manufacturer that analysts have modeled as a commodity cyclical for two decades — just more than doubled that, in Q1, which is historically their softest seasonal quarter.

Revenue hit ₩52.58T, up 60% from the prior quarter and 198% year-over-year. DRAM average selling price surged mid-60% quarter-on-quarter with flat bit growth — meaning the entire revenue jump was pure pricing power, not volume. NAND ASPs were up mid-70% QoQ. This is not a demand-pull inventory cycle. This is structural scarcity pricing.

4th consecutive record quarterly operating profit — ₩37.61T at 72% margin

Four consecutive record operating profit quarters — Q2 '25 through Q1 '26 — with COGS rising only 6% QoQ on 60% revenue growth. That is what operating leverage looks like when a commodity business stops being a commodity.

“Customers’ demand for the next 3 years far exceeds our current supply capacity. Within the limited supply capacity, we are doing our best to supply as much HBM as possible to our customers.”

— Kim Gi-Tae, Head of HBM Sales · SK Hynix Q1 2026 Earnings Call

A three-year demand visibility statement. In memory semiconductors. That has never happened before in this industry's history.


LRMI Derivative Analysis: Where we are in the cycle: momentum, acceleration, jerk

Most earnings recaps will tell you revenue went up. Here's the more interesting question, I’ve developed: is the rate of improvement getting faster or slower? Running the three mathematical derivatives on quarterly revenue gives a precise cycle positioning signal most analysts never compute.

User's avatar

Continue reading this post for free, courtesy of quantLR.

Or purchase a paid subscription.
© 2026 Xur · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture